Investment projects are basic building blocs in the
development process. Gittinger claims that projects re the "cutting
edge" of development. Hirschman considers them "privileged
particles of the development process." In economic development,
projects contribute to the integration of markets by linking productive
activities, provide the organization and technology for transforming raw
materials into socially and economically useful goods and services and
establish the infrastructure necessary to increase exchange among
organizations and geographical areas. Projects provide channels for public
and private investment, rechannel unused or under employed resources into
productive uses, and offer expanded opportunities for entrepreneurs.
A well-planned project passes through the following
cycle: identification and definition; formulation; preparation and design;
selection and approval; activation and organisation; implementation and
operation; monitoring and control; termination or completion; and
evaluation and follow-up analysis.
Banks and Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) are
playing a very significant role in providing long-term and short-term
financial assistance to projects in local as well as foreign currencies.
Prior to approving financial assistance for projects,
banks and DFIs carry out detailed appraisal, which includes: (i) Sponsors’
appraisal; (ii) Technical feasibility: (iii) Market justification; (iv)
Financial appraisal and (v)Economic appraisal.
(I) Sponsors’ appraisal
The sponsors’ appraisal includes the assessment of
their qualifications, experience and management abilities. An essential
element of sponsors’ appraisal is their credit-worthiness and reports
from the financial system of the country.
(II) Technical feasibility
(a) While carrying out technical feasibility, the banks
and DFIs seek to ensure that the projects are soundly designed,
appropriately engineered and follow accepted technical standards. More
concretely, technical appraisal is concerned with questions of physical
scale, layout and location of facilities, the technology to be used
including types of equipment and processes; the appropriateness to local
conditions of technical standards adopted; the approach to be following
for the provision of services; the realism of the implementation schedule;
and the likelihood of achieving the expected levels of output.
(b) A critical part of the technical appraisal is a
review of the cost estimates, and the engineering and other data on which
they are based to determine whether they are accurate within an acceptable
margin and whether allowances for physical contingencies and expected
price increases during implementation are adequate. The technical
appraisal also reviews proposed procurement arrangements. In addition,
technical appraisal is concerned with estimating costs of operating
project facilities and services and with the availability of necessary raw
materials and other inputs. The potential impact of the project on the
human and physical environment is examined to make sure that any adverse
impact will be controlled and minimised.
(iii) Market justification
While examining market justification, the banks and
DFIs analyse the actual consumption of the expected output of the proposed
investment project as well as the following factors:
- Imports and local production.
- Nature and degree of competition (cost structure,
price, quality, products or services); and merger possibilities.
- Market studies or surveys (names and competence of
research team).
- Demand estimates for domestic and export markets.
- Sales forecast.
- Marketing plan.
- Sales and distribution organisation.
- Retailers marketing expertise.
(iv) Financial appraisal
Financial appraisal of a project by a bank/ DFI is
concerned with its financial viability. It seeks to determine, will the
project be able to meet all its financial obligations including debt
service to the banks? Will it have adequate working capital? The financial
viability is also analysed through projection of the balance sheet, income
statement and the cash flow.
The three main tools used in financial and economic
analysis are benefit - cost ratio, the net present worth and the internal
rate of return.
(a) Benefit - cost ratio: The benefit - cost ratio is
obtained by dividing the discounted benefit by the discounted cash flow
(discounted at a cost that reflects the opportunity cost of capital).
In order to be acceptable, the projectís benefit -
cost ratio must be greater than one implying that the discounted benefits
exceed the discounted costs.
(b) The net present worth (NPW): This may be computed
by finding the difference between the discounted benefit and discounted
cost streams (both streams being discounted at the opportunity cost of
capital). A project is acceptable if the NPW is positive.
(c) Internal rate of return: The internal rate of
return (IRR) is the discount rate that makes the net present value equal
to zero. It is the maximum interest that a project could pay for the
resources employed, if the project is to recover its investment and
operating costs, and still break even. In order to be acceptable, the
internal rate of return must be above the opportunity cost of capital.
Aside from the aforementioned tools of financial and
economic analysis, financial ratios are also used to form judgments about
the efficiency of an enterprise, its returns on key aggregates and its
creditworthiness.
Debt-equity ratio
This is an important ratio, which shows the
relationship between debts and equity in the financial structure. Debts
have fixed interest rates and these have to be met even in hard times. As
such equity has to act as a cushion, which can absorb losses.
It is calculated as:
Equity
______________________________
Long tern liabilities plus equity
Sensitivity analysis
Due to uncertainty, sensitivity analysis is also
undertaken to see the impact on the profitability of a project in case the
future course of events happens to be different from what is anticipated.
This analysis is undertaken by varying the different variables upwards and
downwards by a certain percentage to see how it affects the Net Present
Value (NPV) of the project. The variables tested normally are changes in
prices of inputs an outputs, cost over-runs, impact on benefits due to
time over-runs and changes in output yields
(V) Economic appraisal
Economic appraisal of a project is concerned with the
desirability of carrying out the project from the standpoint of its
contribution to the development of the national economy, whereas financial
analysis deals with only costs and returns to project participants,
economic analysis deals with costs and returns to society as a whole.
Economically efficient projects are those, which add to national income.
In economic analysis taxes, duties and subsidies are treated as transfer
payments. Furthermore, some market prices are also changed to reflect
appropriate economic values. These adjusted prices are often termed
"shadow" or "accounting" prices. Again, in this
analysis, interest on capital is never separated and deducted from the
gross return, since it is a part of the total return to capital available
to the society as a whole and it is that total return, including interest
which this analysis is designed to estimate for the society as a whole.
The economic analysis basically allows for remuneration
to labour and other inputs at market prices or at shadow prices, which are
intended to approximate true opportunity costs. Implicit objective of
economic analysis is to determine the impact of the project on the growth
of the economy.