Pipe dreams
Plans to build a gas pipeline connecting Iran, Pakistan and India are under tremendous strain, mostly because of American opposition. Still the project is far from falling apart

Transit to future
Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz, while addressing the 9th summit of Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) at Azerbaijan's capital Baku, called for declaring the region which makes ECO a free trade area.

Notions of inequality
Any law enacted by the Majlis-e-Shoora (Parliament) has to conform to the principles contained in the Constitution of Pakistan, and tax codes are no exception. Article 77 of the Constitution says, "No tax shall be levied for the purposes of the Federation except by or under the authority of Majlis-e-Shoora (Parliament)". Any tax levied by the Parliament is to be tested on the touchstone of the fundamental rights enshrined in the Constitution and if it is violative of any provision it would be void ab initio.

Wasted experiment
Karachi has again privatised its solid waste management. Can the exercise be fruitful without learning and implementing lessons from similar exercises in the past?

Regional rhapsody
A new American book reveals yet again that India, Pakistan and Bangladesh are world leaders — in a field, however, that will make South Asians extremely uncomfortable.

Peace-mongers
Commodity trade between India and Pakistan ensures profits for exporters, low prices for importers and a lot of goodwill towards each other between the two countries and their people

Bridging the knowledge gap cannot be achieved without a huge increase in education spending
We are now into that pre-budget time of year when tall promises tend to become the order of the day and official spokesmen get busy painting rosy social-sector and economic sector development scenarios that often end up being honoured more in the breach than the observance. And even when they don't end up that way and things do get done, they frequently tend to get done at a much slower pace than visualised by the government. In T S Eliot's words, "Between the reality and the response, falls the shadow."

Arthur Bayhan Innovative and competitive
Protectionism is a huge obstacle in economic development. It was so, it is so and it will be so. Protectionism does not allow organisations to qualify themselves.

Building bridges
Qazi Fazlullah is a Pakistani-born religious scholar cum legal expert. He did his LLB and then his masters in Political Science and Islamic Studies from the University of Peshawar.  He was an activist of Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F) and got elected as member National Assembly from Swabi in 1993.

 

 

 

 

 

When enterprise meets adversity, it either caves in or responds with a bold mix of creativity, calculated risk and determined focus on objectives. Negotiations on pulling through Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) gas pipeline are such an enterprise and the fact that are being kept on track in the face of several pressures, shows the stakeholders' ability for creating the much-needed mix mentioned above to carry the process forward.

But the pressures are no less daunting.

In October 2004, we had noted in these pages that the heavy geo-political baggage of conflict that countries of Central, West and South Asia have carried for decades has kept them outside the 'core' of regional cooperation. The case of IPI pipeline politics showed that while the rhetoric for joining hands had matured, the will and apparatus for even functional cooperation — the minimal requirement for trans-border enterprise — was not firmly in place among countries that stood most to gain from this cooperation.

A year-and-a-half of negotiations and parallel international developments later, it is clear that the region cannot wish away political conflicts for several foreseeable decades. For every stakeholder of the 2,600 km long IPI pipeline worth nearly $7 billion, these have only multiplied in number and character.

In 2004, analysts predicted that the Kashmir conflict between India and Pakistan would spoil, sooner or later, the prospects for the trilateral project because the fledgling peace process between the two countries remained sketchy and uncertain. But political leaderships on both sides of the border showed remarkable pragmatism by terming the pipeline a stand-alone enterprise, to be made possible irrespective of the snail-paced and often inconclusive Composite Dialogue between the two countries.

Still, that did not reduce the old mistrust. Despite guarantees from Iran and Pakistan, India balked because of fear of depending on Pakistani cooperation for energy supply and thus putting India's economic security at the disposal of an arch-rival. It even prompted some Indian policy analysts to suggest that the construction of the controversial Baglihar Dam could be used as a 'counterbalance' by India allowing it "to retaliate, should Pakistan interfere with the gas flow".

That India could not trust Pakistani government's security guarantees is understandable, given the tribal conflict brewing in Balochistan actively targeting gas lines passing through the province. In the last one year, apprehensions about the conflict in Balochistan and its impact on the IPI project have only increased. The mounting violence in Pakistan's largest province poses an urgent challenge for the Pakistani government despite President General Pervez Musharraf's vow to crush the tribal resistance with unprecedented force.

Notwithstanding these obstacles and availability of options like Tajikistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan (TAP) pipeline costing $5 billion and Qatar-Pakistan-India (QPI) pipeline costing $8 billion, everyone knew that IPI offered the cheapest, guaranteed and relatively securer means for bringing the much-needed gas to energy-hungry Pakistan and India. This cost-benefit analysis encouraged the three countries to set up a formal mechanism of negotiations for clinching the deal. Through regular meetings of their bilateral working groups, the three governments have managed to thrust the IPI project at the center of their diplomatic parleys, gaining for it a global focus.

The international attention that the project has received in the last few months has given energy politics an economic clarity and excitement for untapped potential that, after a brief spell, had gone missing from the region in the 1990s. It has caught the imagination of Russia, China, Japan, the Gulf states and other countries in Southeast Asia who all want a share in the energy pie, and who are negotiating numerous deals with each other worth millions of dollars.

Until recently, the regional environment for what former Indian Petroleum Minister Mani Shankar Aiyar envisioned as an Asian energy grid comprising of a matrix of pipelines stretching from the Caspian to China, seemed promising.

But this year has begun on an ominous note because of the rise of the biggest hurdle that the project now faces — the US-Iran nuclear stand-off. On the surface, the political leaderships of Iran, Pakistan and India continue to give media sound bites that would have us believe that the IPI project is only a matter of some more negotiations and time. But several realities present a grim picture.

Since the start of active negotiations on the project, the US has voiced its reservations against it, first mutely and later vociferously. Against the nuclear drama that is unfolding vis-a-vis Iran, it has upped the ante by striking a civil nuclear energy cooperation deal with India last summer. The US says the deal will meet all of India's energy needs. It has also dangled F-16s and F-18s in front of Pakistan and India, respectively, as incentives to back out from the IPI project.

The jury is still out on the question as to what extent the US-India civil nuclear energy deal is aimed at containing Iran more than China. But the subsequent developments involving Iran's referral to the UN on charges of nuclear enrichment and the American threat of slapping economic sanctions on that country have put a huge question mark on the future of IPI pipeline.

At the micro level, Aiyar's personal dynamism behind the region's energy drive is no longer there. The able politician's transfer to another ministry in February this year may have been the first casualty of the growing Indo-US security partnership. Then the parties can't seem to agree on a pricing formula to mutual satisfaction. Iran wants $6 per million British thermal units (MBTUs) of gas, which Pakistan and India find at least $2 per MBTUs higher than their expectations. Resultantly, the first tripartite ministerial talks in March failed to settle issues of inter-government guarantees and obligations, pipeline security, building, operation and maintenance, and pricing structure.

Without naming the US, India and Pakistan both deny facing any external pressure to back out of IPI, saying they will not allow it to come in the way of their national interests. This sounds as a direct rebuff to Washington's wishes. Behind their apparent media-driven confidence, however, it appears that the two South Asian neighbours are finding it difficult to carry on business as originally intended, because the US is stepping up its efforts to back the Central Asian energy route as a more acceptable option for India.

The press reported last month that India is expected to formally join the TAP pipeline project by mid-May and stay away from IPI plans. The Indian cabinet is in the process of actively considering the project that enjoys the blessings of the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

Even though some of important issues still need to be resolved like certification of the Daulatabad gas field reserves, gas volumes to be transported by the pipeline, gas pricing, pipeline security and the over all structure, TAP pipeline partners have formally asked India to decide about joining the project by May 15.

Compared to the advances that have already been made in pursuit of IPI pipeline, TAP project may take quite a long while before any good comes out of it. This is why the players are keeping all their options open even if they appear contradictory.

Last week, Iranian Deputy Oil Minister, Hadi Nejad Hosseinian, held talks first in Islamabad and then in New Delhi. In Islamabad, Pakistan and Iran agreed to go ahead with a bilateral gas pipeline with a 33 per cent higher supply to Pakistan than the proposed tri-nation project, if India does not join it. Hosseinian and Pakistan's Petroleum Secretary Ahmad Waqar said at a press conference that India could be accommodated through a second pipeline if it was interested in going ahead with IPI pipeline.

Later in New Delhi, Hosseinian clarified that India had not been 'ousted' from IPI pipeline, and also set an August deadline for India to sign an agreement on the project, failing which Tehran would proceed with bilateral exports to Pakistan.

The three governments seem set for a meeting in Islamabad on May 22-23 to sort out pricing and other issues before a tripartite ministerial meeting in Tehran scheduled for June. Meanwhile, Tehran is also planning to go ahead with gas exports to China slated for 2009.

It is difficult to predict the outcome of IPI project even if the odds against it look daunting. American pressure notwithstanding, the three actors are putting up an independent front, ostensibly safeguarding their economic interests. Russian and Chinese stakes in the energy game also offer them an opportunity to push through with their plans, albeit slowly. In a recent article, energy expert F William Engdahl chronicled the latest developments around the Shanghai Corporation Organization (SCO) which is defining the energy politics in the region and the US position therein. Engdhal says that Iran's entry this June in SCO will shift the regional balance of power against the US, and that US opposition to their economic cooperation is "driving these countries into each others' arms". That could result in a "geopolitical nightmare" for Washington.

However it may move in future, it is clear that Washington wants to use local conflicts to establish its influence in the region. Through pressure and offering diverging incentives to each player, it is perpetuating these conflicts which would ultimately prevent efforts at regional economic cooperation in the form of projects like IPI gas pipeline. In doing so, the US may only end up weakening countries which have helped it in its war on terror, and which can play an important role in ending its Iraq imbroglio.

Whether common economic interest will trump heavy-weight politics remains to be seen. Both India and Pakistan know, however, that they will play a key role in deciding the fate of this project to which is attached the economic prosperity of their billion plus poor people.

 

 

Transit to future

 

Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz, while addressing the 9th summit of Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) at Azerbaijan's capital Baku, called for declaring the region which makes ECO a free trade area.

The prime minister, in his speech, focused on the economic, and particularly the energy potential, of ECO member countries. He stressed the optimum utilisation of this potentials for a greater economic integration among ECO member countries.

Shaukat Aziz's suggestion for making ECO region a free trade area, in fact, is a carry-over of an understanding reached among the ECO members when five of them — Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Tajikistan and Turkey — signed ECO Trade Agreement (ECOTA) in Islamabad in July 2003. The agreement is an important stepping stone towards removing trade barriers in the region and setting up of free trade area by 2015. Pakistan, being the founding member of the ECO, is the coordinator of ECOTA and it has, along with Tajikistan, already ratified ECOTA. While other signatories are at different stages of ratifying the agreement, all ECO members are reviewing a draft action plan for its implementation.

Experts believe the implementation of ECOTA can lead to opening up of trade in the ECO countries and pave way for greater inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the region, allowing multinational companies to tap it as an integrated single market.

This agreement, the experts say, can also foster higher level economic growth in the region through lowering of barriers to trade, reduction of transaction costs and removal of inefficiencies in trading systems. It will help in alleviating poverty, reducing unemployment and forging closer cooperation among the member countries.

ECO covers an area spreading over 7 million square kilometer with huge minerals reserves and enormous human resources. According to the statistics provided by a recent ECO bulletin, ten member countries of ECO have a total population of 379.7 million with a combined economic output of $616.9 billion in 2004 — a mere 1.5 per cent of the world's economic output that year.

The economic recovery achieved by ECO countries as a group in 2002 accelerated significantly in 2003 and 2004 with average real GDP growth recorded at 6.9 per cent and 8.0 percent respectively, compared to 1.1 percent in 2001.

The recent growth performance shows that ECO countries outperformed any other regional grouping of all developing countries. During the past five years, real GDP growth averaged 6.2 per cent for ECO region, compared to an average growth rate of 4.1 per cent for all developing countries.

"Transport, communication and energy sectors have great potential. ECO member states can cooperate in these sectors to boost their growth prospects. This objective can be achieved through initiating special steps like ECOTA as engine of growth in regional trade," says Muhammad Tariq who heads Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (Smeda) in Peshawar.

Geo-strategic importance of Pakistan in the broader context of ECO has placed it into a very distinctive position. Its proximity with Afghanistan and six land-locked former soviet states places it at the centre of ECO's economic development.

For instance, Pakistan has a critical role to play in 'pipeline politics' currently going on with active presence of Iran and Turkey, the two other founding members of ECO. Pakistan's geo-strategic position on the one hand can provide an effective transport infrastructure to the land-locked Central Asian Republics (CARs) and war-ravaged Afghanistan and on the other it can also help in fostering the higher growth within its own economy.

Statistics show that proven oil and natural gas resources of the region have been estimated at three per cent and four per cent of the world's total respectively. The estimated proven oil reserves of the region range between 17 billion barrels to 33 billion barrels. By 2010, the countries of the region are forecasted to produce from 3 million to 4.7 million barrels per day of oil. The confirmed regional natural gas reserves are estimated at 232 trillion cubic feet.

"These vast energy reserves attract the attention of even the non-ECO players, like the United States, India and China who one way or the other influence the Central Asia's economic and political integration into global political economy," says Tariq.

He believes that economies of Central Asian states can benefit immensely if they are allowed to use Pakistan as a transit route for their trade with the rest of the world because this route will greatly reduce their transportation costs. This will also help Pakistan to take up a strategic role in shaping the economic future of the region.

Apart from facilitating trade in the region, Pakistan can also transform itself into an energy corridor. Negotiation for Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan pipeline and Turkmenistan-Iran-Pakistan pipeline projects are evidence of Pakistan's central role in the movement of energy in the region.

"Geo-strategic importance of Pakistan affords it to play a central role in political and economic integration of the region. It has the ability to become an economic and transport hub of the region because it provides the shortest and economically the most feasible transit route for Central Asian states to reach the Arabian Sea. But to play that role, Pakistan must have to integrate itself effectively with regional transport infrastructure," says Tariq.

Pakistan, he suggests, must effectively take part in ongoing reconstruction in Afghanistan for channelising transit corridors passing through Afghanistan into Central Asia.

Businesspeople too think that Pakistan in general and NWFP in particular will be the main beneficiaries of the trade liberalisation through ECOTA or any other multilateral agreement between ECO member states.

"The natural resources and raw material of former communist states in Central Asia can feed local industries to manufacture low cost industrial products. Similarly, Central Asia's energy reserves and their export to other ECO and non-ECO member states is also placing Pakistan at an important position," says Numan Wazir, a Peshawar-based businessman.

In terms of trade with ECO member states, Pakistan does not have a lot going. But, Numan says, Central Asian states and Afghanistan offer Pakistan an opportunity to increase export of non-traditional items to these so far unexplored markets.

He says all these are emerging economies and have the capacity to absorb a lot of exports because they do not have a firm industrial base of their own which means countries like Pakistan have a golden opportunity to tap some of this potential.

"Certainly, Iran and Turkey, two key players of ECO, have technical edge over Pakistan when it comes to large scale manufacturing," he concedes but adds that this does not necessarily mean Pakistan's loss. "Industrial imports from the two countries can contribute in accelerating Pakistan's economic growth. Machinery being produced by these two countries is comparatively semi-automated that suites Pakistani environment well because it is still labour-intensive. Its import and installation will certainly generate employment and thereby reduce poverty which is one of the basic principals of ECO charter," he adds.

 

 

Any law enacted by the Majlis-e-Shoora (Parliament) has to conform to the principles contained in the Constitution of Pakistan, and tax codes are no exception. Article 77 of the Constitution says, "No tax shall be levied for the purposes of the Federation except by or under the authority of Majlis-e-Shoora (Parliament)". Any tax levied by the Parliament is to be tested on the touchstone of the fundamental rights enshrined in the Constitution and if it is violative of any provision it would be void ab initio.

The state has power to tax its citizens but taxation should not be confiscatory, discriminatory or offensive to any fundamental right guaranteed in Chapter 1 of the Constitution (Article 8 to 28). It is the duty of the State "to ensure the elimination of all forms of exploitation and the gradual fulfilment of the fundamental principle: from each according to his ability to each according to his work" (Article 3). In the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 (called 'the new Ordinance' in this article), this principle has been flagrantly violated through section 13(7) of the new Ordinance by taxing notional income in the hands of a salaried person if his employer extends him a riba-free (interest-free) or concessionary loan.

Article 8 of the Constitution says, "Any law, or any custom or usage having the force of law, in so far as it is inconsistent with the rights conferred under this Chapter (Chapter 1 relating to Fundamental Rights) shall, to the extent of such inconsistency, be void". The provision of taxing notional income arising from riba-free or concessionary loans is against the following provisions of the Constitution:

1.       Article 25 of the Constitution which says, " all citizens are equal before law and are entitled to equal protection of law". This article does not speak about abstract equality, but in fact, proclaims equality before the law. Equal protection of law means that all people equally placed should be treated alike both in privileges conferred and liabilities imposed. A reasonable classification of equally placed people should be based on an intelligible differentia which distinguishes persons or things that are grouped together from those who/which are left out and the differentia must have a rational nexus to the object sought to be achieved by such classification.

2.       Article 38(f) requiring the State to eliminate riba as early as possible.

In Pakistan, loan defaulters (both genuine bankrupts as well as professional loan-sharks) enjoy immunity from tax. Through clause (3A) of the Finance Act 2004, Part IV of the Second Schedule to the new Ordinance, confers the unprecedented benefit of non-taxation on a remitted loan and its mark-up. It is painful that businesspeople are getting these extraordinary benefits while the already overtaxed salaried people are being burdened with unjustified notional taxation on riba-free or concessionary loans where no element of real income is involved. It is shocking to note that benefit extended to many persons through Finance Act 2005 by inserting clause (53A) in Part I of the Second Schedule to the new Ordinance is not extended to bank employees despite the fact they are at par with all the people mentioned therein.

Section 13(7) of the new Ordinance taxing the notional benefit arising out of riba-free or concessionary loans given to employees is violative of Article 25 and 38(f) of the Constitution. The section reads: "Where a loan is made, on or after the 1st day of July, 2002, by an employer to an employee and either no profit on loan is payable by the employee or the rate of profit on loan is less than the benchmark rate, the amount chargeable to tax to the employee under the head 'Salary' for a tax year shall include an amount equal to (a) the profit on loan computed at the benchmark rate, where no profit on loan is payable by the employee, or (b) the difference between the amount of profit on loan paid by the employee in that tax year and the amount of profit on loan computed at the benchmark rate, as the case may be.

The expression 'benchmark' is defined in sub-section (14) of section of the New Ordinance 13 as under: "'benchmark rate' means (i) for the tax year commencing on the first day of July, 2002, a rate of five percent per annum; and (ii) for the tax years next following the tax year referred to in sub-clause (i), the rate for each successive year taken at one percent above the rate applicable for the immediately preceding tax year but not exceeding such rate, if any, as the Federal Government may, by notification, specify in respect of any tax year".

This provision of law is liable to be struck down as it is against the declared policies of the government of providing relief to the salaried people, promoting housing industry and extending affordable loans and advances to low-income groups of society.

Section 13(7) read with section 13(14) of the new Ordinance is against all norms of law, justice and equity. How can a law fix benchmark rate arbitrarily at 5 per cent for the base year and thereafter provide for an annual increase of 1 per cent? Secondly, if an employee has obtained loan at a rate less than 5 per cent from his bank, how can the law fix it at a higher rate when many other clients are getting the loans at the same or reduced rate? It is pertinent to mention that the Central Board of Revenue (CBR) under a repealed Ordinance of 1979 issued a Circular Letter 4(8)IT-J/91 dated June 30, 1991 opining that "...it is not desirable to tax such notional income...". Why this policy has changes in Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 is best known to CBR stalwarts.

The facility of interest-free or concessionary loans can be abused by the director/shareholders of private companies or certain persons running family-controlled trusts, but in their case the law provides that such a loan would be treated as dividend as per section 2(19)(e) of the new Ordinance. The whole amount of loan in their case is treated as dividend and a separate block of income that is taxed at a rate of 10 per cent.

In the case of employees/persons having no ownership interest in the business concern, the employer/concern cannot divert income by giving them loans in lieu of dividends and therefore there is no justification to tax these loans as dividends. The idea of taxing these loans at an incremental rate of 1 per cent every year starting from the base year rate of 5 per cent is confiscatory as in many cases the actual rate on which these loan are obtained are much lower than this. The banks are giving loans to credit-worthy parties at rates as low as 2 per cent to 3.5 per cent.

The following illustration (based on a real life case) shows financial ramifications of this provision of law in the case of a bank employee, earning a monthly basic salary of Rs 10,000, who has availed the facility of house loan worth Rs 4 million from his employer:

Had section 13(7) not been applicable, total tax payable would have been just Rs 700.

Taxable salary is merely Rs 120,000 whereas notional value of taxable house loan facility is Rs 240,000. Loan of Rs 4 million is barely sufficient to purchase/construct a house on a 125 square yards to 250 square yards plot in any average locality.

The banks' employees are at par with PIA and Railways who enjoy free/concessional tickets. In their case no income on this account is taxed as the employer is engaged in the business of carriage of passengers. On the same analogy, the banks are engaged in the business of lending and borrowing and therefore their employees should not be taxed for this facility.

The above example clearly exposes the adverse effects of section 13(7) read with section 13(14). There are cases where only due to inclusion of loans as notional income, a salaried person falls in the category of tax bracket of Rs. 600,000 and consequently all the allowances and perquisites in his case become taxable.

It is therefore imperative that this notional income should not be taxed. In case the government (in fact CBR) is bent upon promoting riba despite tall claims of eliminating exploitation from the economy, then the following amendments should be made making the law equitable:

1.          Benchmark rate as defined in section 13(14) should not be more than the rate on which a loan is obtained by an employee.

2.       In case rate is lower than the average borrowing rate for such kind of loans in the market, the federal government or the State Bank should be asked to notify an average rate for the relevant tax year.

3.          Addition in income under section 13(7) should not be part of 'taxable income'.

4.       Such a notional income should be taxed as a separate block at a concessional rate not exceeding 5 per cent.

It is hoped that the policymakers will take due notice of this unjust and confiscatory provision of law while making budget for financial year 2006-07. This law has disastrous financial ramifications for the salaried persons. The tall claims of the government to promote riba-free economy, housing industry and to provide housing facilities to all the citizens are in direct conflict with this erratic and confiscatory fiscal provision.

The authors are members of visiting faculty of Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

 

Mr. 'A', employ of bank, recieved the following for the tax year 2006:

Basic Salary:          120,000

House Rent Allow:  54,000

Utilities:          12,000

Medical Allowance:          12,000

 

Computation of taxable income and tax  payable

Item          Amount        Exempt          Taxable

 

Basic salary          120,000        Nil          120,000

HRA    54,000          54,000          Nil

Utilities          12,000          12,000          Nil      

Medical          12,000          12,000          Nil

Income u/s 13(7)          320,000        80,000          240,000

Total taxable income                    360,000

 

Calculation of tax liability

Taxable income:          360,000

Tax on Rs.200,000:          3,500

Tax on Rs.160,000 @ 12%:   19,200

Gross tax:          22,700

Less rebate u/s 64           5,044

Net tax payable          17,656

 

 

Wasted experiment

Three months ago, the City District Government Karachi (CDGK) privatised its solid waste management (SWM) service. Private contractors are now handling waste management in the city. An empirical survey of the city streets and neighbourhoods, however, shows no improvement from what they always were.

This is not the first time that SWM has been privatised in Karachi. But the manner in which the current exercise is initiated shows that no lesson has been learnt from the experiences of the past. As per the current conventions wisdom, it is assumed that any service or enterprise would acquire new heights of efficiency whenever handed over to the private sector. The reality, however, shows a different picture, which needs to be understood in order to develop sustainable solutions.

Changes in lifestyle and rise in consumerism have been catalytical in increasing the quantity of urban waste. According to conservative estimates, total amount of waste generated in Karachi is over 7,800 tonnes per day. This does not include the waste generate by hospitals and industrial and commercial activities like construction, electronics, manufacturing for which authentic statistics are not available.

About 12 per cent of the waste generated in the city is segregated and disposed off at the household level; another 10 per cent is separated and disposed off by scavengers; five per cent of it is used for land reclamation, predominantly along the coastline of the city; town Municipal Administrations pick up 33 per cent of the waste while an almost equal quantity is dumped in natural drains, nullahs and creeks.

In terms of composition, a sizeable part of this waste comprises urban organic waste with low calorific value. Recyclable items are largely separated at source or are sold to junk dealers. Over 400 recycling units exist in Karachi, all in the informal sector. Fact finding studies by Urban Resource Centre — an NGO — have revealed that over 5,500 households draw their livelihood from this informal recycling industry.

Karachi lacks properly designed transfer stations for interim storage, sorting and onward transfer of waste. As a result, informally designated garbage dumps can be found almost everywhere. There is no scientifically designed sanitary landfill site for the safe and final disposal of waste. Most of the garbage is presently dumped in Jam Chakro dumping site near Surjani Town, Govind Pass (near Hub) and Mehran Town near Korangi. As no public health procedures are applied while selecting these sites, open dumping causes enormous problems. For instance, three children died in Surjani Town two years ago when the authorities dumped oil-contaminated soil there.

As a municipal norm, SWM has been a prime responsibility of the municipalities. Historically, Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC) (now defunct) used to handle it. After the KMC was restructured and District Municipal Corporations (DMCs) came into being, the responsibility of managing solid waste were divided between the two bodies. DMCs would looked after collection and disposal, while KMC restricted itself to the management of dumping sites. After the promulgation of Sindh Local Government Ordinance 2001, managing solid waste became a three-tier operation. Union council was made responsible for street sweeping and collection of waste from households, TMA was made responsible for lifting of waste and transferring it to dumping sites and CDGK was given the task of managing dumping sites as well as overall coordinating the whole affair. The performance of the previous system for SWM was not satisfactory. Low priority to SWM sector, limited resources at the disposal of towns, lack of coordination among government departments and limited availability of trained staff were few of the shortcomings faced by the sector.

Given donors' preference for privatisation of public services, it was natural that managing solid waste also went the same route to rid it of inefficiency. Privatisation of SWM in Karachi was attempted under the local governments that existed in 1990s. In 1994, KMC contracted waste collection to a private entrepreneur. He installed an imported plant to convert urban organic waste into compost (which is a form of plant food used for soil enrichment). Due to various administrative and procedural reasons largely unknown, the plant closed down and the contract was prematurely terminated. In 1998, DMC-Central (now defunct) awarded a contract of waste collection and disposal for North Karachi and Federal B Area. A private contracting firm was hired for the purpose. The contract ran into controversies soon after its take off. There were allegations and counter allegations by the contracting parties. The contract was soon terminated. According to the contractor, he had to undergo heavy financial losses in the capital investments made for the purchase of vehicles and manpower. DMC-Central accused the contractor of poor performance, below the desired level of efficiency.

In DMC-East (now defunct), an NGO, Society for Environmental Awareness (SEA), was invited to lift organic waste from the site of Old Sabzi Mandi at the University Road to notified points at Korangi for preparation of compost/fertilizer. Due to administrative delays and improper location, the project could not materialise. In Defence Housing Authority, a private organisation has been active in lifting and disposing the waste to prescribed points. At a local scale, an NGO, Association for Protection of Environment (APE) is running a project in Shah Rasool Colony and Lower Gizri to devise a waste collection system with local community's participation. It is linked with the municipal network of Clifton Cantonment Board. At the collection level, the service is functioning satisfactorily due to community participation.

This shows that results of SWM privatisation has remained below the desirable level. Most of the past experiments could not even take off due to different types of problems. While each of these cases has shown that professional and managerial competence is a pre-requisite for success, understanding similar experiments is also extremely relevant. It is vital to know that donor agencies, principally the World Bank, have been promoting the concept of private sector participation for improving the efficiency and level of service in a cost effective manner. A number of formats and arrangements have been tried and tested in this respect which have met with a varying degree of success. Several of them are relevant to Karachi also.

In most of the developing countries private sector operators are small in scale and capacity and are not able to handle all aspects of the services themselves. They also have to bear the burden of taxes and duties on the import of equipment. In order to remain profitable, they establish links with the members of the government to get better conditions in contracts. This is a case found prevalent in most of the Latin American cities. Several lessons can be derived from these experiences.

Livelihoods of certain low income households are linked to SWM. While devising a system of formal privatisation, existing informal practices of picking, sorting and recycling should be kept into view. It is interesting to know that while we talk of privatisation today, informal private sector has been doing its job for several decades. It not only manages its own survival but also provides useful service by reducing waste volumes, generating some useful products and bye-products through recycling and creating avenues of employment for a vast variety of skilled and unskilled labour force. According to some studies, there are more than 100,000 labourers/people in Karachi who are directly or indirectly involved with income generation activities related to waste management.

The key element in devising a management structure for private sector should be efficiency. Any thing less than that should not be acceptable. Municipalities tends to privatise SWM to lower the cost and improve on service. Private sector enters the system in order to earn profit by keeping an appropriate management. A proper blend of the two can only result when a realistic contract is reached. The contract should include terms and conditions that are realistically worked out and are manageable by the contractor. Capacity building of the contractors is a crucial factor. At present, there are extremely few private enterprises that can attempt to manage waste in Karachi. Skill development, management training and site management are few essentials for building the capacity of potential contractors.

A crucial aspect in SWM is an appropriate system of monitoring and evaluation of the performance of private sector contractors. It has several aspects. The first aspect is the creation of a set of performance indicators. Frequency of sweeping, lifting of garbage and safe disposal to the dumping/transfer site, general cleanliness and an impact assessment on the health of the citizens are some common indicators. Impact assessment by the users and beneficiaries of the project is also vital.

Formats of monitoring should be carefully determined. They must also include and involve the users and beneficiaries. Another aspect is the system of lodging complaints and follow-up response from the service provider. In many developed countries, this structure is fairly simple. Complaints are registered through phone calls and are attended within 24 hours. Such practices help in building users' confidence.

But the foremost aspect is to make SWM a self-sustaining enterprise. In the contemporary environment of market economy where subsidies and relaxations cannot be guaranteed at all, the question of sustenance becomes crucial. Several aspects need to be considered to make the exercise realistic. The existing set of actors and enterprises should be incorporated into any new system that is devised. Their livelihoods and modes of employment should be safeguarded. Recyclers, middle agents, contractors of different scales and orientation and shopkeepers involved in commercial activities related to SWM all fall in these categories. Appropriate ways and means must be worked out to rationalise their operations without disrupting the useful working chains that they have developed.

Waste should be used to generate outputs that are essentially required in the society. Organic waste can be utilised to prepare compost which remains in great demand in urban agriculture. Similarly, waste of suitable calorific value can be used to generate energy.

For organised disposal, sanitary landfill sites need to be developed where waste can be disposed in a safe and environment-friendly manner. Simple and contextually viable technology should be employed by the service providers. Ultra high-tech and sophisticated machinery or orthodox manual modes are both incompatible with our local conditions. 

 

 

Regional rhapsody

Cities of no joy

A new American book reveals yet again that India, Pakistan and Bangladesh are world leaders — in a field, however, that will make South Asians extremely uncomfortable.

Acclaimed US sociologist Mike Davis has just published a global survey, titled Planet of Slums, of a sad phenomenon of our times. In this much-praised work, he includes everything that you probably want to know about slums, including the history (he even traces the word origin), typology, geology, and the economic forces at play. Sadly, the three biggest South Asian countries get prominently highlighted throughout, with Sri Lanka making a few cameo appearances.

"Bombay, with 10 to 12 million squatters and tenement-dwellers, is the global capital of slum-dwelling, followed by Mexico City and Dhaka (9 to 10 million each), and then Lagos, Cairo, Karachi, Kinshasa-Brazzaville, Sao Paulo, Shanghai and Delhi (6 to 8 million each)," notes Davis in a book that is full of eye-popping detail right from the start.

I know that at some level this is not news to many of us. The moment you step outside your house in any major South Asian city, the actuality of urban destitution becomes readily apparent. But, still, considering how much of a presence slums are throughout the region, there is a surprising deficiency of scholarly research or media coverage within South Asia of this issue, although there are honourable exceptions such as Kalpana Sharma's Imagining Dharavi, a masterful book on Bombay's megaslum.

The reasons for this are not difficult to understand. The topic makes all of us, including me, uncomfortable. The reaction of many middle-class residents of these cities is either to throw their hands up in despair at the reality around them, or turn on the poor themselves, demanding their eviction. The media often just reflect the sentiments of their audience.

Slums and their inhabitants thus continue to get short shrift in much of the South Asian press, including the English-language media (and Hindi media outlets, which I am quite familiar with, are generally quite bad, too). Publications like India Today and Times of India are so busy breathlessly chronicling the escapades of the tiny elite that they seldom disdain to cover the lives of less exalted folks.

But we cannot begin to tackle the problem of urban misery until we begin to understand it. Davis provides us enlightenment on this very vital subject.

Lest you think that Davis is one of those arrogant Westerners who love to rub the noses of Indians and Pakistanis in their poverty while being oblivious to their own social ills, be assured that Davis has never spared his countrymen. He started his book-writing career exposing the ecological unsustainability and massive inequality characterising Los Angeles in works like City of Quartz and Ecology of Fear, but has turned his attention to global issues in recent years.

In Late Victorian Holocausts, Davis achieved the mind-boggling feat of linking late 19th century weather patterns and misadministration to large-scale famines in British India, China and Brazil. By doing this, he implicated imperial rule in creating the poverty that plagues much of South Asia today. And he does that to some extent again in Planet of Slums.

"The British were arguably the greatest slum-builders of all time," he writes. "In India, Burma, and Ceylon, their refusal to improve sanitation or provide even the most minimal infrastructure to native neighborhoods ensured huge death tolls from early-twentieth-century epidemics (plague, cholera, influenza) and created immense problems of urban squalor that were inherited by national elites after independence."

But Davis doesn't let South Asian post-colonial governments off the hook as well.

"In the rest of the Third World [apart from China, Hong Kong and Singapore], the idea of an interventionist state strongly committed to social housing and job development seems either a hallucination or a bad joke, because governments long ago abdicated any serious effort to combat slums and redress urban marginality," Davis points out.

He also shows that the privileged classes throughout the developing world have often seized much of the housing set aside for the poor, with India and Pakistan being prime examples.

"In the 1970s, for example, municipal and state authorities launched a hugely ambitious scheme to create a modern twin city on the mainland, opposite the Bombay peninsula," writes Davis. "The urban poor were promised new homes and jobs in glittering New Bombay (now Navi Mumbai), but instead local people on the mainland were displaced with loss of land and livelihood, while the bulk of the new housing went to civil servants and the middle class."

Karachi also doesn't escape Davis's harsh eye.

"The periphery of Karachi is public land supposedly controlled by the Karachi Development Authority," Davis writes. "Yet, as the Authority, according to Peter Nientied and Jan van der Linden has "totally failed to provide land for housing low income groups," the fringe has been illegally subdivided, by syndicates of public officials, corrupt police, and middlemen known as dalals."

There aren't only negative stories to tell about slums. Davis's book mentions Akhtar Hameed Khan and his much-admired Orangi Pilot Project in Karachi. Another recent book on the same subject, Robert Neuwirth's Shadow Cities: A Billion Squatters, A New Urban World, gives an account of several self-help and community groups that ceaselessly work to make life more bearable in the slums of Bombay. But Neuwirth writes that when local reporters came to know of a white Westerner living in a slum in their city, they were only interested in him validating their opinions about how horrible, diseased and crime-ridden slum-dwellers were.

The phenomenon of microfinance lending, represented most famously by Bangladesh's Grameen Bank, is also helping the urban needy, particularly women, in a small way. But to ensure that slums and their proliferation are tackled in a far-reaching manner will require a drastic change in governmental priorities throughout South Asia, including support for village-based employment, small-scale agriculture and a decent infrastructure in the rural areas, plus making available jobs and affordable housing in the urban centers.

I know: You are scoffing at me as a daydreamer. But how about this. All of us — the rich, the middle class and the poor — need to get together to demand that the governments of South Asia do the one thing it is known that they are capable of: waging war, but this time on poverty. Because if they don't tackle the underlying issues creating the problem of slums on a war footing, South Asian cities will be confronting urban blight and deprivation on a bigger and bigger scale in the years to come.

Amitabh Pal is the Managing Editor of an American magazine, The Progressive (www.progressive.org), a monthly political publication founded in 1909. This is first of his monthly columns for Political Economy.

 

The growing willingness of India and Pakistan to depend on each other for essential commodities like wheat, sugar, livestock and lately cement, always brings to mind a conversation with a Bangladeshi ruling party law-maker during the South Asian Parliamentarians Conference at Bhurban. When asked why the Bangladeshis were so hostile to India, the Bangladeshi legislator explained that the Bangladeshi attitude towards India was not uni-dimensional. He said that while at the political level there were a lot of problems between India and Bangladesh, at the same time the people of Bangladesh also realise that if they are getting cheap rice, or beef, or onions or sugar or medicines, it is because of India. Also implicit in the explanation given by the Bangladeshi legislator was that vested interests had been created on both sides that prevented relations between the two neighbours from reaching the breaking point. Perhaps, a similar dynamic might operate in relations between India and Pakistan if trade between them continues to grow.

At a political level there remain plenty of problems, issues and disputes between India and Pakistan, and one dare say, none of them are likely to be resolved any time soon. But increasingly the political disputes between the two countries are not standing in the way of trade and commerce. Equally important is that fact that narrow 'nationalism' is no longer dictating the choice of trading partners. Not only is there no longer any national shame attached to importing goods (including food-stuff) from the 'enemy', there is also no national 'pride' or even nationalistic gloating on the issue of exporting goods to the 'enemy'. This is really a sign of growing maturity among the people of the two countries and a victory of 'enlightened moderation' (or self-interest) over the earlier tendency to 'eat grass' in a show of nationalism.

In a sense, this developing economic paradigm is not unique to India and Pakistan. Around the world, economics is fast becoming the defining and driving factor in relations between countries. Within countries, the fate of ruling dispensations is increasingly being decided by their performance in the economic field. Exhorting people to 'eat grass' no longer sells well at the hustings, or even at 'fauji darbars', especially when those asking the people to make sacrifices continue to live by the maxim 'greed is good'. The political compulsions of controlling runaway inflation in prices of commodities of daily use like sugar, meat, onions etc, coupled with economic realism of procuring these goods from the nearest and cheapest source, have therefore combined to give a fillip to trade between India and Pakistan.

Interestingly, the very reason for which skeptics have doubted the potential of trade between India and Pakistan — the commodities and products that both countries produce are similar — is exactly what is pushing forward trading relations between them. Just as despite producing similar products with similar technology, the developed countries trade more with each other than rest of the world, India and Pakistan too can have a similar trading pattern which enhances the competitiveness of both countries by synergising their productive capacities. In the case of commodities like wheat, sugar, onions, potatoes, garlic etc the sub-continental palate also becomes an important factor. Since the climatic and soil conditions are quite similar, onions or garlic grown in the region are far preferable than the anti-septic taste of similar products from any other part of the world. More importantly, the trade in commodities between the two countries is not uni-directional; rather the same commodities are both exported and imported depending on the supply situation.

Today, Pakistan is facing severe shortages of sugar, so it makes sense for it to import sugar from India, which has surplus stocks. But in 1999, India was importing sugar from Pakistan to stabilise prices at home. Also, when the onion crisis hit India in late 1998, they were imported from Pakistan. Today, there is a glut in the onion market in India, and export of onions is a very attractive proposition to bale out the onion farmers. But while India is overflowing with onions, the wheat stocks have reached a critical low. India is therefore considering importing wheat from Pakistan, which in turn has allowed duty-free livestock import from India in order to moderate prices of meat. And with cement prices going through the roof, Pakistan's decision to allow cement import from India has offered the Indian industry a new market.

Of course, trade in agricultural commodities and basic infrastructural goods will always face a restriction in terms of supply availability, which in turn is a function of climatic factors, pricing and procurement policies of governments, institutional structures (in terms of credit availability, storage facilities, transport links etc) and cyclical or temporary market conditions. Since most of these goods are not open for free imports and exports (which generally depend on domestic supply availability), it adds an additional barrier to open and free trade in these goods — that of government mandated trade. This is not entirely a bad thing, provided governments are open to the idea of regional trade.

If anything, restrictions on commodity trade ensures that such trade does not take place at the cost of domestic consumers or producers. For instance, after Pakistan allowed cement imports from India, the price of cement shot up in the local market. As a result, the commerce ministry had to read the riot act to cement manufacturers and warn them that exports would be forbidden if domestic supplies ran short or if the price of cement continued its upward spiral. Such intervention in the market is politically very important because it ensures that commodity trade doesn't become a handle in the hands of unreconstructed and unreformed mindsets within the country, who would then use this to demonise the other country and try to scuttle trade and commerce even in non-contentious goods.

So, until trade in agricultural commodities is fully free — something which is unlikely to happen for a wide variety of political, social and economic reasons — governments on both sides will also have to calibrate commodity trade keeping in view the supply situation in their countries. For instance, if in response to an Indian order for wheat, traders in Pakistani Punjab send wheat across the international border and this results in shortages in Sindh or NWFP, it will be a political disaster for both inter-provincial relations within Pakistan as well as for Indo-Pak trade. Governments will perforce need to guard against this kind of purely market-driven trade. This kind of a control can be a bit of a damper for those excited about sub-national cooperation — Punjab-Punjab, Sindh-Rajasthan, the two Kashmirs — the regions that would prefer to trade with each other rather than go through the trouble of looking for customers in Balochistan or Bihar for their produce. But since commodity trade is only a small component of sub-national cooperation, government restrictions need not be a limiting factor.

Political intervention in commodity trade also has a very important diplomatic dimension, which if used wisely, can normalise relations between India and Pakistan much faster than any political confidence building measure. By bringing down prices of essential items like wheat, sugar, meat, this kind of trade directly affects the lives of people, much more than any esoteric agreement on informing each other of missile tests or hotline between the two Director Generals of Military Operations ever can. This creates a goodwill and dependence that is invaluable for normalisation of relations. Indeed, India is increasingly opening up to the idea of using trade as a tool to impress upon Pakistan the benefits of normal relations. This is in contrast to a time when Indian policy makers would have preferred to not sell to Pakistan only in order to ensure that Pakistan would have to shell out a lot more money for something it could buy cheap from India.

This new policy not only helps India develop a constituency among the people of Pakistan but also helps to 'buy' influence among powerful sections of the Pakistani establishment. For instance, the sugar deal in 1998-99 was also used by the two governments to oblige special interests like the Army Welfare Trust and politicians running sugar mills (many of who are today important members of the government in Pakistan). The opening up of a new market in the neighborhood also helps domestic farmers, traders, and industry especially during times of a bumper crop. After all, holding on to stocks is expensive and if the choice is between a false sense of nationalism which leads to bankruptcy and selling goods to the 'enemy', all rational economic players would rather choose the latter over the former.

The lifting of barriers to food imports is probably the wisest decision that has been made by the policy makers of India and Pakistan. More than anything else, it signals a lifting of mental barriers. Trade in commodities like cotton, petroleum products and engineering goods is the next logical step that needs to be taken. And with Indian companies waiting for the opportunity to invest in Pakistan, more and more vested interest in peace and normal relations between the two countries are likely to be created. With an ever increasing tribe of stake-holders in peace, the necessary space will be created for the two governments to try and solve their political problems. So perhaps the policy of 'feeding the enemy' (and making money at the same time) is not so bad after all. 

 

 

We are now into that pre-budget time of year when tall promises tend to become the order of the day and official spokesmen get busy painting rosy social-sector and economic sector development scenarios that often end up being honoured more in the breach than the observance. And even when they don't end up that way and things do get done, they frequently tend to get done at a much slower pace than visualised by the government. In T S Eliot's words, "Between the reality and the response, falls the shadow."

That shadow, in our case, is made of a number of elements, including the limited absorption capacity of government agencies to utilise budgetary allocations for development spending within the stipulated time frame, bureaucratic inefficiency, procedural red tape, and a lack of the kind of political will that is needed to translate development goals into concrete results on the ground.

To make matters worse, this annual ritual tends to be based on premises that frequently ignore the true magnitude of particular problems in a country of Pakistan's size, resulting in the formulation of solutions that smack of tokenism rather than of efforts aimed at really coming to grips with the problems.

True to form, the government decided on Thursday to raise budgetary allocations for higher education by 50 per cent in the federal budget for fiscal 2006-07. The proposed increase from Rs 22 billion in the current fiscal year to Rs 33 billion in the forthcoming fiscal year may sound like a lot, but what this enhanced figure actually amounts to in per capita terms, based on the country's present estimated population of 165 million, is Rs 200 per person per year.

This is a pittance, and is not going to go very far in turning Pakistan into a knowledge-based economy, especially in light of the fact that more than half the country's adult population is still illiterate and tens of millions of people are still excluded from sharing in the benefits of economic growth.

Exclusion is the most poignant expression of our economic and social contradictions and problems. Exclusion breeds extreme poverty and neglect — the shop-floor of crime and violence, the locus of human abuse and human destruction. Exclusion is an amplified portrait of ourselves.

If people could participate in the decisions that shape the processes that, in turn, shape their lives, economic strategies suited to their real needs could be implemented, even under the constraints of the global economy. New economic strategies could then be evolved that put people first, that address the problems of environmental degradation, that aim at bettering the living standards of the population as a whole rather than only those of upper-income groups, and that treat the informal economy as the real economy.

For such people-first strategies to succeed, one of the first problems that needs to be addressed is the knowledge gap. It may be a truism, but the plain fact of the matter is that knowledge is the key to economic development, especially in an age where the world is increasingly becoming one single area in a very fundamental sense: a complex unit of production, a single labour market and a specific system of power.

Like other developing countries, Pakistan is characterised by the duality between the segments of the population that are integrated, even at a very low level, into the global economy and the much larger numbers of people that are excluded from the system. Bridging the knowledge gap can help to transform this system of exclusion into one of inclusion.

The information revolution makes understanding knowledge and development more urgent than ever before. Today, even the remotest village has the possibility of tapping a global store of knowledge more quickly and cheaply than anyone imagined possible only a few decades ago.

And yet more than a billion people in developing countries are living on a per capita income of less than a dollar a day and another billion are not much better off. What's more, the income disparity between rich and poor nations is growing. One of the reasons for this disparity is the knowledge gap.

The United States dominates the world's knowledge economy. Forty-five of the top 50 regions with the best knowledge base in the world are in the US, led by Minneapolis-St Paul. Stockholm, the top region outside the US, is ranked only 22nd in a report from Robert Huggins Associates, a British think-tank.

The report rates each region on its 'knowledge competitiveness' — defined as its ability not just to create new ideas but also to exploit their economic value. Its findings highlight the gap in competitiveness between the US and the rest of the world, including Europe.

European Union leaders have signally failed in their much publicised original aim to move the EU significantly closer to becoming the world's most competitive economy by the end of the decade.

Meanwhile, Japan — which until the late 1980s was touted as the world's most competitive economy — remains tied up in knots in attempts to tackle its economic woes. Its legionaries, flanked by columns of the bureaucracy, continue to hamper attempts to overhaul the economy. Junichiro Koizumi was supposed to change all that, by going over their heads and appealing directly to the public. Yet more than five years after becoming prime minister, Koizumi has little to show for his efforts.

US regions' score in the Huggins report's 'World Knowledge Competitive Index' is boosted by high research and development spending by businesses, high spending on education and a highly developed information technology infrastructure.

Other measures of 'knowledge competitiveness' used to compile the index include levels of employment in knowledge-intensive industries, such as computer manufacturing and high-tech services, and numbers of patents registered. Developing countries hold hardly any US patents. Pakistan, for example, holds only two US patents — both held by a Karachi-based company that manufactures polypropylene yarn and downstream products.

The San Francisco region — home of Silicon Valley — comes second in the index. London, in 50th place, is the top UK region, with Tokyo the highest-scoring Asia-Pacific location in 54th place. Germany, the eurozone's largest economy, performs poorly: its highest-ranking region, Hamburg, comes 62nd in the index.

The Huggins report identifies Australia and New Zealand as countries on the rise within the world's knowledge economy — boosted by growing employment in knowledge-intensive industries.

The report emphasises the role governments can play in boosting the knowledge economy through spending on education and R&D tax breaks. It says the scope for intervention is wide and highlights the potentially crucial role of business-focused universities in spreading the knowledge economy.

Poor countries — and poor people — differ from rich ones not only because they have less capital but because they have less knowledge. Knowledge is often costly to create, and that is why much of it is created in industrial countries. But developing countries can acquire knowledge overseas as well as create their own at home.

Forty years ago, Pakistan and South Korea had virtually the same income per capita. Today, South Korea's GDP per capita, at $ 13,000 is nearly 17 times higher than Pakistan's, at $ 800. Some reckon that half of the difference is due to South Korea's greater success in acquiring and using knowledge.

As a World Bank report titled 'Knowledge for Development' notes, knowledge also illuminates every economic transaction, revealing preferences, giving clarity to exchanges, informing markets. And it is lack of knowledge that causes markets to collapse, or never to come into being.

Poor countries differ from rich in having fewer institutions to certify quality, enforce standards and performance, and gather and disseminate information needed for business transactions. Often this hurts the poor. For example, village moneylenders often charge interest rates as high as 80 per cent or more, because of the difficulty in assessing the creditworthiness of poor borrowers.

The 'Knowledge for Development' report proposes that we look at the problems of development in a new way — from the perspective of knowledge. There are many types of knowledge. The report focuses on two sorts of knowledge and two types of problems that are critical for developing countries.

The first is knowledge about technology, which is also called technical knowledge or simply know-how. Examples are nutrition, birth control, software engineering, and accountancy. Typically, developing countries have less of this know-how than industrial countries, and the poor have less than the non-poor. These unequal distributions across and within countries are knowledge gaps.

The second is knowledge about attributes, such as the quality of a product, the diligence of a worker, or the creditworthiness of a firm — all crucial to effective markets. The difficulties posed by incomplete knowledge of attributes are information problems. Mechanisms to alleviate information problems, such as product standards,